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North Texas forecast: Thunderstorms early, 100-degree heat later this week

Updated
Jul 6, 2026 7:38 PM
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North Texans should prepare for a mix of thunderstorms and dangerous heat this week as scattered storms early in the week give way to the hottest temperatures of the year so far.

Forecasters say isolated thunderstorms could develop Monday and Tuesday afternoon, with the greatest impacts expected during the evening commute. While rain coverage will remain limited, any storms that form could produce "downburst winds" and localized flooding.

A stationary front lingering across North Texas will combine with daytime heating to spark scattered storms, primarily between 4 p.m. and 6 p.m. Monday. Rain chances across the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex remain between 20% and 30%, with the highest likelihood of storms east and southeast of Dallas.

Communities that received heavy rainfall over the weekend could be more susceptible to flash flooding if additional storms develop over the same areas.

Forecasters said the threats of tornadoes and large hail remain low, but isolated storms could generate strong, erratic wind gusts and "heavy downpours."

Monday's morning commute is expected to remain dry, with afternoon highs reaching about 97 degrees under light winds.

A similar weather pattern is forecast Tuesday. Morning temperatures will begin in the low to mid-70s before climbing into the mid-90s, with another chance for scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms capable of producing gusty winds and brief, heavy rainfall.

The forecast turns significantly hotter beginning Wednesday as high pressure strengthens over Texas, bringing sunnier skies and reducing rain chances.

Temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 90s by midweek, with highs reaching 99 to 100 degrees Thursday and Friday. If forecasts hold, North Texas could experience its first 100-degree day of the year.

The intense heat is expected to ease slightly next weekend as another weak weather disturbance moves into the region. Scattered thunderstorms are possible Saturday and Sunday, with increased cloud cover and rainfall helping lower afternoon temperatures back into the mid-90s.

Residents are encouraged to stay weather-aware throughout the week, especially during the afternoon and evening hours when both thunderstorms and dangerous heat are expected to pose the greatest risks.

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